Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 391.868848 446.349118 507.341759 580.998111 667.949752 767.832210 891.973950
2025-08-10 304.123349 372.736147 456.747527 568.386281 714.662425 902.361274 1165.644615
2025-08-17 267.320718 344.167447 444.181916 586.301629 787.066941 1066.818560 1497.648830
2025-08-24 235.323344 314.554241 422.630903 584.511561 827.431762 1189.668903 1793.461296
2025-08-31 208.827385 287.787329 399.724737 574.913566 851.633534 1289.229651 2071.729337
2025-09-07 191.051748 270.612630 387.405066 577.712452 893.039007 1420.298634 2429.798199
2025-09-14 172.793562 250.376443 367.625325 565.290958 906.499123 1505.430226 2723.989766
2025-09-21 159.698712 236.405613 355.566174 563.108518 935.877245 1622.260379 3106.650577
2025-09-28 143.940609 216.674653 332.135779 538.505641 921.177775 1653.771771 3320.365721
2025-10-05 138.906795 213.485925 335.115752 559.712357 993.449282 1866.645682 3990.076618
2025-10-12 135.104815 211.855278 340.355344 585.360622 1078.035642 2121.661758 4840.729846
2025-10-19 128.278743 204.485557 334.860245 590.141402 1121.225631 2296.118097 5546.721994
2025-10-26 118.743167 191.883847 319.283646 574.374889 1120.581228 2374.822700 6032.206534
2025-11-02 110.706254 181.297324 306.445350 562.623078 1127.155114 2473.183829 6615.884267
2025-11-09 107.372780 178.754358 308.101532 580.280983 1202.238587 2758.310147 7897.011792
2025-11-16 101.893836 171.867615 300.898678 578.515057 1231.913063 2932.887098 8893.732928
2025-11-23 96.008876 163.784952 290.673481 569.035422 1241.473563 3055.161313 9763.318087
2025-11-30 92.004548 158.914581 286.290130 571.799810 1281.871971 3275.372688 11121.477023
2025-12-07 86.737213 151.275037 275.750555 559.531183 1281.807938 3375.912622 12047.971272
2025-12-14 82.914175 146.155864 269.901790 557.375532 1308.203861 3565.721258 13477.482680
2025-12-21 77.242097 137.080516 255.245122 533.073152 1270.874273 3542.253323 13907.132481
2025-12-28 76.185921 137.025630 259.372392 554.021014 1363.108753 3976.597188 16895.881024
2026-01-04 75.506999 137.664238 265.004559 579.353519 1473.121974 4510.618176 20888.321257